Managed Money Reporter Newsletter — Issue 164, October 2000


Editors: Carl Spiess & Allan McGlade


Featured Articles



Now Is The Time To Be Invested!

By John Zufelt - Director

Let The Bidding Begin!

If you have ever gone to an auction, you know that the greater number of bidders for a small number of items usually results in higher prices. The stock market is really this simple. Stocks are a commodity just like any other and what we lose track of is that there are a finite number of stocks available for sale. Every time there is a merger or a takeover of a company, millions of shares are removed from the auction table.

Over the last two years Carl and I have been writing articles and giving seminars on being invested, on being diversified with investments, and on being patient with your portfolio. One of the underlying fundamentals that we have harped on during this period is the historical relationship between stock market price increases and population bulges of people over 50 years of age.

During the last two years, we have begun to witness the largest group of 50-year-old people ever to be exposed to the stock market. Certain sectors of the market have exploded (as in high tech), while others have languished (such as old economy stocks). Merger and takeover activity have also exploded and as mentioned above, millions of shares once available are now gone.

The Proper Perspective

It is very difficult to stand back and get an overview as to markets and opportunity. What is the next sector that will move higher? Which global market will be the next to run up and what of energy prices, inflation and interest rates?

In my 17 years in the business, I have never seen a period of time where positives are not balanced with negatives and fears, such as at this current moment in time. Yet, when we look at the economic basic of supply and demand, we have a supply of stock disappearing from merger/takeover activity while there is a growing demand for performing investments from the baby-boom, over 50 group.

Where To Invest Now

In 1999, the US market delivered great returns, but so far in 2000 it has lost money as these gains were digested. Both the Dow and S&P 500 look ready for a rally. Oil and energy prices have increased dramatically, yet the energy sector stocks have yet to reflect these higher prices. Base metal commodity prices also look poised for a rally and, as Canada is a global resource market, we would expect a fund like Fidelity Focus Natural Resources Fund to do well. Remember, diversification and patience are a must!

The Virtue Of Patience!!!

Many of our clients own AIC Advantage Fund and many were disappointed over the last three years as the fund languished along with the financial services index. Many people were also getting tired of hearing us say, "hold on and be patient". We are pleased to report since February of this year the fund is up 38% as bank and mutual funds company shares have jumped.

Being bullish on Canada, in February 2000 we also recommended two new funds to our clients, Synergy Canadian Style Management Class and Synergy Canadian Momentum Class Fund, and are pleased to report that they are up 29% and 28%, respectively.

Why Wait?

Last year, Labour Sponsored Investment Fund prices were very high during RRSP season. Why not make your LSIF purchase early this year? By making your contribution early, you can take advantage of a longer period for potential growth.

How To Invest

There should be few surprises when I
reiterate the axiom of a diversified portfolio.
The reality is that a single guru has yet to 
be found, who can tell us of the next
performing marketplace.

Therefore, when performance shifts from one investment to another, the adverse effects of a downward turn are minimized through a well diversified portfolio across different asset classes and marketplaces. The important thing is to be diversified, to stay invested and be patient!

Corporate Group RRSPs

As many of you know we offer Corporate Group RRSPs. Our corporate group RRSP service includes:

  • At source payroll deduction for instant RRSP tax deduction
  • Seminars
  • Ease of account administration
  • Access to a wide range of investments including stocks, mutual funds and fixed income products

If you are interested in participating, or if you would like to see if your company is eligible to participate in our plan, please call our offices or contact your human resource administrator so that we can look at setting your company up with a Group RRSP plan.

Our corporate clients include:

  • Amec (formerly AGRA)
  • Black & Decker
  • Cineplex Odeon
  • Cosburn Patterson Mather
  • Enbridge
  • George Brown College
  • George Weston/ Loblaws
  • Giffels Associates
  • Professional Engineers of Ontario
  • Royal Ontario Museum
  • Society of Management 
    Accountants of Ontario
  • Steelcase
  • Sun Media
  • Totten Sims Hubicki
  • And more!!

Visit www.scotiagroupplans.com/group_plans for more information. 

Fund News

  • AGF Management is buying Global Strategy for $438 million. The combined company will have $35 billion in assets under management. Closing is expected for October 31st.

  • Mackenzie has announced two pending fund mergers. Subject to approval Mackenzie intends to merge the Industrial American Fund and Universal US Blue Chip Fund. Both funds are run by Paul Baran, who took over Industrial American in July. The Industrial Mortgage Securities Fund is also to be merged into the Industrial Yield Advantage Fund and will be renamed Mackenzie Yield Advantage Fund. Sentinel Global Fund will also be merged into Universal International Stock Fund.

 



Contact Us

T.  416.863.RRSP (7777)
     1.800.387.9273
F.  416.863.7479
E. carl.spiess@scotiawealth.com
    allan.mcglade@scotiawealth.com

ScotiaMcLeod is a division of Scotia Capital Inc., member of CIPF.

Security | Privacy Policy | Legal Information | Important Information | Site Map

 

 

 

® Registered trademark of The Bank of Nova Scotia, used under licence. ™ Trademark of The Bank of Nova Scotia, used under licence. Scotia Wealth Management™ consists of a range of financial services provided by The Bank of Nova Scotia (Scotiabank®); The Bank of Nova Scotia Trust Company (Scotiatrust®); Private Investment Counsel, a service of 1832 Asset Management L.P.; 1832 Asset Management U.S. Inc.; Scotia Wealth Insurance Services Inc.; and ScotiaMcLeod®, a division of Scotia Capital Inc. ("SCI"). Wealth advisory and brokerage services are provided by ScotiaMcLeod, a division of SCI. Insurance services are provided by Scotia Wealth Insurance Services Inc., the insurance subsidiary of SCI. When discussing life insurance products, ScotiaMcLeod advisors are acting as Life Underwriters (Financial Security Advisors in Québec) representing Scotia Wealth Insurance Services Inc. SCI is a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund and the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada.

The Spiess McGlade Team is a personal trade name of Carl Spiess and Allan McGlade.